A Comparative Analysis of Algorithmic Approaches to Predicting Patient Outcomes in Cardiovascular Care

Authors

  • Jordan Thomas PhD
  • Rowan Edwards Associate Professor
  • Kai Jones Professor
  • Pat Harris D.Sc

Keywords:

cardiovascular disease, predictive analytics, machine learning, patient outcomes, algorithm comparison, heart failure, clinical decision support

Abstract

Cardiovascular disease remains a leading cause of mortality globally, necessitating accurate prediction models for patient outcomes. This study employs a comparative analysis of machine learning algorithms including Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and Support Vector Machines in predicting 30-day readmission rates among heart failure patients. By utilizing a retrospective cohort of 5,000 patients, we deployed advanced statistical techniques and software tools such as Python 3.9 (scikit-learn 0.24.0) for algorithm implementation. Our findings reveal that the Gradient Boosting model outperformed other algorithms with an accuracy of 85% and a p-value of <0.01 in the statistical significance test. This research underscores the importance of leveraging advanced analytics in clinical settings to enhance patient management and resource allocation.

Author Biographies

Jordan Thomas, PhD

PhD
Harvard University
Massachusetts Hall, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA

Rowan Edwards, Associate Professor

Associate Professor
Heidelberg University
Grabengasse 1, 69117 Heidelberg, Germany

Kai Jones, Professor

Professor
University of Toronto
27 King's College Circle, Toronto, ON M5S 1A1, Canada

Pat Harris, D.Sc

D.Sc
University of Melbourne
Grattan St, Parkville VIC 3010, Australia

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Published

2024-12-18

Issue

Section

Articles